Health

Free Marathon Time Predictor

Predict your marathon finish from a recent race result.

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Inputs

Result

Predicted marathon time

3:27:01

Predicted half-marathon time1:39:17

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Estimates only. Verify with a professional for consequential decisions.

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Short answer

Predict your marathon finish from a recent race result.

What is the Marathon Time Predictor?

Predict your marathon finish from a recent race result.

How does the Marathon Time Predictor work?

Enter the inputs above and read the result.

Formula

T2 = T1 × (D2 ÷ D1)^1.06

Variables

  • T1, D1Recent race time and distance

Explanation

Peter Riegel's formula predicts endurance race times accounting for fatigue at longer distances.

Examples

Applications

    Advantages

      Limitations

      • This tool is for general education only and is not medical advice. Consult a qualified healthcare professional for diagnosis or treatment decisions.

      Common mistakes

        Tips

          Related concepts

          The Marathon Time Predictor sits inside the Health Calculators hub, in the fitness & training cluster. Intensity, capacity and performance prediction. Understanding the terms below makes the output easier to interpret and easier to compare against neighbouring measures.

          training zoneaerobic capacityprogressive overloadMET valuesplit time

          Practical use cases and industry applications

          Understanding Marathon Time Predictor

          Predict your marathon finish from a recent race result. Within health calculators, marathon time predictor belongs to the fitness & training cluster, where it shares terminology and assumptions with closely related tools.

          Learning how marathon time predictor is calculated

          Peter Riegel's formula predicts endurance race times accounting for fatigue at longer distances. Working through the variables one at a time — T1, D1 — makes the result reproducible by hand and easier to sanity-check.

          Using marathon time predictor to make a decision

          Because outputs depend on the assumptions you enter, run more than one scenario before committing to a figure.

          How marathon time predictor compares with related measures

          training zone, aerobic capacity, progressive overload, MET value all describe adjacent aspects of fitness & training. Comparing this calculator's output against those measures — using the related tools listed on this page — prevents a single metric from being read in isolation.

          Frequently asked questions

          Related calculators

          More fitness & training tools

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