Math

Free Probability Calculator

P(A ∪ B), P(A ∩ B), and conditional probability from two events.

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Inputs

Result

P(A ∪ B)

0.580000

P(A ∩ B)0.120000
P(¬A)0.600000
P(¬B)0.700000
P(A | B)0.400000
P(B | A)0.300000

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Short answer

P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B). If A and B are independent, P(A ∩ B) = P(A) · P(B).

What is the Probability Calculator?

Basic probability arithmetic for two events, including independence and conditional probability.

How does the Probability Calculator work?

Union subtracts the intersection to avoid double-counting. Conditional divides the joint by the given event.

Formula

P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B); P(A | B) = P(A ∩ B) / P(B)

Variables

  • Union — 'or'
  • Intersection — 'and'
  • |Given (conditional)

Explanation

The inclusion-exclusion principle avoids double-counting the overlap.

Examples

Example 1: P(A) = 0.4, P(B) = 0.3, independent

P(A ∩ B) = 0.12; P(A ∪ B) = 0.58.

Applications

  • Risk analysis
  • Bayesian reasoning
  • Card and dice games

Advantages

  • Handles both independent and dependent cases

Limitations

  • Two events only — extend manually for more

Common mistakes

  • Adding probabilities when the events overlap (must subtract the intersection)

Tips

  • P(A ∪ B) never exceeds 1, and never exceeds P(A) + P(B)

Related concepts

The Probability Calculator sits inside the Math Calculators hub, in the statistics & probability cluster. Describing data and quantifying uncertainty. Understanding the terms below makes the output easier to interpret and easier to compare against neighbouring measures.

distributiondispersionsignificancesamplepopulationexpected value

Practical use cases and industry applications

Understanding Probability

Basic probability arithmetic for two events, including independence and conditional probability. Within math calculators, probability belongs to the statistics & probability cluster, where it shares terminology and assumptions with closely related tools.

Learning how probability is calculated

The inclusion-exclusion principle avoids double-counting the overlap. Working through the variables one at a time — ∪, ∩, | — makes the result reproducible by hand and easier to sanity-check.

Using probability to make a decision

Risk analysis Bayesian reasoning Card and dice games Because outputs depend on the assumptions you enter, run more than one scenario before committing to a figure.

How probability compares with related measures

distribution, dispersion, significance, sample all describe adjacent aspects of statistics & probability. Comparing this calculator's output against those measures — using the related tools listed on this page — prevents a single metric from being read in isolation.

Frequently asked questions

What if events are mutually exclusive?

Then P(A ∩ B) = 0, and P(A ∪ B) simplifies to P(A) + P(B).

Related calculators

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